DP Math AA · HL / SL · Statistics & Probability

SL 4.5—Probability concepts, expected numbers

Get started
Notes Quiz
Free preview 2/15
  1. Question 1

    A fair six-sided die is rolled 180 times. How many times would you expect to roll a number greater than 4?
    No clue? Show me the answer
    Correct answerCorrect!Incorrect
    C60

    Step-by-step walkthrough

    Choose a solution method

    Method #1Direct Approach

    Step 1: Identify the favourable outcomes

    Numbers greater than 4 on a six-sided die are {5,6}, so there are 2 favourable outcomes out of 6 equally likely outcomes.

    Step 2: Calculate the theoretical probability

    P(greater than 4)=62​=31​

    Step 3: Apply the expected number formula

    Using E=P(A)×n: E=31​×180=60

    Step 4: State the answer

    The expected number of rolls greater than 4 is 60.

    Method #2Process of Elimination

    Step 1: Identify what is being asked

    We need E=P(A)×n where n=180 and A is rolling greater than 4.

    Step 2: Eliminate 30

    30 would correspond to P=61​, which is the probability of rolling exactly one specific face — but we need two faces {5,6}, so this is too small.

    Step 3: Eliminate 45

    45 corresponds to P=18045​=41​, which does not match any natural grouping of faces on a fair die.

    Step 4: Eliminate 90

    90 corresponds to P=21​, which would mean 3 favourable outcomes — but only {5,6} are greater than 4, giving 2 outcomes, not 3.

    Step 5: Select the correct answer

    Only 60 correctly reflects P=62​=31​ applied to 180 trials.

  2. Question 2

    The probability that a randomly selected item from a production line is defective is 0.08. In a batch of 1250 items, what is the expected number of defective items?
    No clue? Show me the answer
    Correct answerCorrect!Incorrect
    B100

    Step-by-step walkthrough

    Choose a solution method

    Method #1Direct Approach

    Step 1: Identify the given values

    The probability of a defective item is P(defective)=0.08 and the number of trials is n=1250.

    Step 2: Apply the expected number formula

    E=P(A)×n=0.08×1250

    Step 3: Calculate

    E=0.08×1250=100

    Step 4: State the answer

    The expected number of defective items is 100.

    Method #2Process of Elimination

    Step 1: Identify the calculation needed

    We compute E=0.08×1250 and compare with each option.

    Step 2: Eliminate 80

    80 would require P=125080​=0.064, which does not match the given P=0.08.

    Step 3: Eliminate 108

    108 corresponds to P=1250108​=0.0864, a common rounding error — not equal to 0.08.

    Step 4: Eliminate 156

    156 corresponds to P≈0.125, which could arise from incorrectly using 81​ instead of 0.08.

    Step 5: Select the correct answer

    100 is the only value consistent with 0.08×1250=100.

Free preview

13 more questions in this topic

← Previous topicSL 4.4—Pearsons, scatter diagrams, eqn of y on xNext topic →SL 4.6—Combined, mutually exclusive, conditional, independence, prob diagrams
Koncepts

Learn it properly. Then practise like it's the real paper.

Start free

Features

  • Lessons
  • Past papers
  • Library
  • Homework Help
  • Duels

More

  • For parents
  • Compare
  • Plans & pricing
  • DP for students

Legal

  • Privacy
  • Terms
  • Account deletion

© 2026 Koncepts (product of PrepAiro, Inc). All rights reserved.
DP, IB, EE and TOK are terms of the International Baccalaureate Organization.

Made for IB DP students.