DP Math AA · HL / SL · Statistics & Probability

SL 4.5—Probability concepts, expected numbers

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Notes Quiz

Trials, Outcomes, and Sample Spaces

Probability is the branch of mathematics that deals with measuring how likely events are to occur. To work with probability, we need some precise vocabulary.

Trial: A single execution of a random experiment , for example, rolling a die once or flipping a coin once.

Outcome: A specific result of a single trial , for example, rolling a 4, or getting heads.

Sample Space (U): The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment. It is denoted by the letter U.

Example

Single coin flip: U={Heads, Tails}

Rolling a six-sided die: U={1,2,3,4,5,6}

Rolling two dice: U contains 36 ordered pairs, from (1,1) to (6,6).

Sample spaces can be represented in several ways:

  • Lists , simple enumeration, e.g. U={1,2,3,4,5,6}
  • Tables , useful when combining two experiments (rows = one die, columns = the other)
  • Tree diagrams , show sequential stages clearly
Exam Tip

Always write out the full sample space before calculating any probabilities , it stops you from accidentally missing outcomes!

Trials, Outcomes, and Sample Spaces
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9 more sections in this topic

← Previous topicSL 4.4—Pearsons, scatter diagrams, eqn of y on xNext topic →SL 4.6—Combined, mutually exclusive, conditional, independence, prob diagrams
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