DP Math AA · HL / SL · Statistics & Probability

SL 4.10—X on y regression line

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  1. Question 1

    A marine biologist records the water temperature, T°C, and the number of fish counted, f, at a reef site on eight different days. The regression line of T on f is found to be T=a+bf. Which of the following correctly describes how this regression line is used?
    No clue? Show me the answer
    Correct answerCorrect!Incorrect
    BIt predicts the water temperature T for a given number of fish f

    Step-by-step walkthrough

    Choose a solution method

    Method #1Approach 1

    Step 1: Identify the form of the regression line

    The regression line is given as T=a+bf, which is in the form x on y (here T plays the role of x and f plays the role of y).

    Step 2: Apply the definition of x on y regression

    The x on y regression line predicts the variable on the left-hand side of the equation from the variable on the right-hand side. Here T is on the left, so T is being predicted from f.

    Step 3: Identify direction of residuals minimised

    The T on f regression line minimises horizontal distances (residuals in T), not vertical distances.

    Step 4: Select the correct answer

    The line T=a+bf is used to predict the water temperature T for a given number of fish f.

    Method #2Approach 2

    Step 1: Identify what is being asked

    We need to determine the correct use of the regression line T=a+bf.

    Step 2: Eliminate 'predicts $f$ from $T$'

    Option A says it predicts f from T. But f is the input (right-hand side) and T is the output (left-hand side), so this is backwards. Eliminated.

    Step 3: Eliminate 'predicts the mean of both variables'

    Option C is incorrect — regression lines predict one variable from another, not both simultaneously. Eliminated.

    Step 4: Eliminate 'minimises vertical distances'

    Option D describes the y on x regression line. The T on f line minimises horizontal (not vertical) distances. Eliminated.

    Step 5: Select the correct answer

    Option B is correct: the line T=a+bf predicts the water temperature T for a given number of fish f.

  2. Question 2

    A dataset on athletes records their weekly training distance d (km) and resting heart rate h (bpm). The regression line of h on d is h=85−0.9d and the regression line of d on h is d=95−1.1h. A coach wants to estimate the training distance of an athlete whose resting heart rate is 62 bpm. Which equation and calculation should the coach use?
    No clue? Show me the answer
    Correct answerCorrect!Incorrect
    Bd=95−1.1(62)=26.8, so d≈26.8 km

    Step-by-step walkthrough

    Choose a solution method

    Method #1Approach 1

    Step 1: Identify what is known and what needs to be predicted

    The coach knows the resting heart rate h=62 bpm and wants to predict the training distance d.

    Step 2: Choose the correct regression line

    Since d is the variable to be predicted and h is known, we use the d on h regression line: d=95−1.1h.

    Step 3: Substitute the known value

    d=95−1.1(62)=95−68.2=26.8 km

    Step 4: Select the correct answer

    The predicted training distance is 26.8 km, obtained using d=95−1.1(62).

    Method #2Approach 2

    Step 1: Identify what is being asked

    We need to predict d from a known h=62, so we need the d on h regression line.

    Step 2: Eliminate options using the wrong equation

    Options A and C use h=85−0.9d, which is the h on d line. This line predicts h, not d, so both are wrong. Eliminated.

    Step 3: Eliminate the option substituting the wrong value

    Option D substitutes d=85 (the intercept of the other line) rather than h=62. This is a nonsensical substitution. Eliminated.

    Step 4: Select the correct answer

    Option B correctly uses d=95−1.1(62)=26.8 km. This is the right equation with the right substitution.

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← Previous topicSL 4.9—Normal distribution and calculationsNext topic →SL 4.11—Conditional and independent probabilities, test for independence
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